The considerably reduced number of people registered by the state man-power management centres, the spectacularly increased number of the employed and the lower number of people receiving unemployment benefit are seen as a success story by the Hungarian Government. Policy Agenda has struck the balance of the past 4 years, can we consider these figures really as a success?
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Before the elections, Viktor Orban said apropos of the Fidesz-KDNP’s election platform: “to be continued”. From this it could follow, that not even the speed of legislation will get slowed down. The government has presented its program for law-making for the fall 2014. The Policy Agenda has examined what wecan expect in this respect in the ‘parliamentary law-factory’.
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The KSH revealed the rate of subsistence level for 2013 publicly. Accordingly, a monthly income of at least 87,510 Forints was enough last year in Hungary for one to be able to “permanently satisfy the minimum needs for the conduct of life”. During the recent years it has become troublesome even for those with jobs to be able to achieve this living standard from their earnings. The Policy Agenda exhibits the actual tendency in this respect compared to the period preceding the economic recession.
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The parliament representative of Fidesz presented a non-government bill on levying a tax on media enterprises. The bill echoed with high sounds and apparently, a fault-line was generated within the governing party as well in connection with the bill. Policy Agenda has examined what the leadership of the governing party may want to achieve by this and what alternative solutions may exist.
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Four days before the EP elections – if the parties consider the people seriously – then the ideas should be visible. The Policy Agenda made an analysis and examined how many parties of the eight participating at the elections were able to meet this minimum requirement and how much they ease the task of the people when reading the promises.
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Despite the unwritten law the third Orbán-government failed to have the Parliament accept its platform. Whereas the governing parties did not publish the election programme either, it is not easy to assess what we can expect in the following four years.Beyond the annual budget, the only document the government is obliged to make and that can serve as a compass is the convergence programme. Policy Agenda surveyed what this material suggests the government’s platform will be.
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The country has been divided into three parts in consideration of the results of the parliamentary elections. The forces between the governing parties and the parties composing the government changing association are balanced in Budapest. The left-wing parties, however, represent only the third force in the villages. Policy Agenda has examined the high difference between the villages and the capital and what might have influenced voters.
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The SME’s Economic Activity Index, as calculated by the IBS – International Business School – and Policy Agenda has increased again compared to the previous quarter. The figures show that company managers’ expectations are significantly more optimistic compared to the situation 3 years ago and there is hope that this atmosphere will hold in the longer run. However, investors are still not much inclined to assign large outlays to new projects and this calls for caution.
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One of the ideas of the political parties participating in the elections is to improve the situation of small and medium-sized enterprises. In connection with this, Policy Agenda has asked company managers to tell their opinion on the economic policy of the recent four years and the changes they consider important. The company managers’ opinions are much divided regarding whether the government would be replaced.
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The crisis has affected Hungarian economy and society to a considerable extent. This can be felt still and poverty is ever increasing. Policy Agenda has examined Hungary’s current situation compared to our competitors based on the figures published by OECD and the statistical office of the European Union (EUROSTAT). The figures answer the question whether the government has put every wheel in motion actually in order to mitigate social harms.
Tovább